College Football Bets, Week 8
by Memphis Bengal on Wednesday, October 15th, 2008 at 7:07pm
Another solid performance last week (6-4), headlined by taking Oklahoma State against Missouri, though I didn’t think the Cowboys would be able to pull off the upset. Ironically enough, I’m still struggling on games I bet real money on. Maybe I should be betting on 10 games a week instead of just two or three.
Top Games
TCU (pick) vs. Brigham Young — The Horned Frogs are underrated and I think they’ll upset the Cougars at home. BYU’s ranking has been propped up based on wins over UCLA and Washington that in retrospect aren’t as good as they seemed at the time.
Vanderbilt (+15) at Georgia — This is too many points to give to a decent SEC team, even with a new QB running the show for the Commodores.
Ohio State (-3.5) at Michigan State — I honestly don’t know what to make of this Michigan State team, though it has looked impressive for much of the season. The OSU offense is struggling and should continue to struggle against the Spartans, but I can’t see MSU’s offense scoring more than 13 points .
Kansas (+20) at Oklahoma — This is the kind of game where you would expect the Sooners to bounce back big, but I don’t think it will be big enough to cover this number. The Jayhawk defense is going to be tested, but OU’s defense has also shown that it is vulnerable.
Missouri (+6) at Texas — I honestly wasn’t sure which way to come down in this one, so when in doubt take the points. Seems more likely that Texas would win by a small number than Missouri would pull the upset (especially in Austin), but I don’t know that I can foresee a Texas blowout.
Best Bets
Penn State (-24) vs. Michigan — Some wiseguys out there have paid off their BMWs by betting against the Wolverines this season and even this spread — the biggest underdog Michigan has ever been — seems too small. According to Sagarin rankings, Michigan should be getting closer to 31 or 32 points.
Mississippi (+13) at Alabama — Same philosophy is at work here that I employed in the Vandy-Georgia game. This is a lot of points to give a good team.
Miami (FL) (-4.5) at Duke — Miami is favored by less than a touchdown against Duke? WTF? I’m not on the Duke bandwagon.
Wake Forest (-1) at Maryland — When is America going to believe this Wake Forest team is for real? Maryland has been schizophrenic, but I can’t see the Demon Deacons losing this game.
Oregon St. (-14) at Washington — How many times can I get burned on the Beavers in one season? Let’s see. I still like OSU to put a big number on the Huskies, who are struggling on both sides of the ball.
Last Week
6-4 last week, 38-30-3 overall.
Top Games
3-2 last week, 20-13-2 overall
Best Bets
3-2 last week, 17-17-1 overall
Actual Bets
1-2 last week, 10-12-1 overall, -$63