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I alluded to this last week, but my philosophy of betting on double-digit underdogs in rivalry games is fully in play this week. There are a lot of really huge spreads that are just begging to be bet. That said, I still like Florida to destroy Florida State.

Top Games

Oklahoma (-7) at Oklahoma State — Oklahoma has been put into the position where it isn’t enough just to win — the Sooners need to make a statement. Fairly or unfairly, they’re going to be judged on how much more badly they beat Oklahoma State compared to Texas.

Florida (-16.5) at Florida State — The Seminoles and the points are tempting, but if the Gators play like they have the last few weeks I wouldn’t take Florida State and four touchdowns.

Georgia Tech (+8.5) at Georgia — The Yellow Jackets are playing well, clicking on offense and the Bulldogs have been occasionally uninspiring and struggling on defense. Add it all up and a straight up upset doesn’t seem impossible.

Oregon State (-3) vs. Oregon — This is probably the game of the week as far as pitting two closely matched teams whose fanbases do not like each other (they don’t call it the Civil War for nothing). Oregon has a chance to scuttle the Beavers’ Rose Bowl hopes, but I think OSU gets it done.

Notre Dame (+32) at USC — Yes, Notre Dame sucks but they probably will only need 14 to 17 points to hit this number. I think they’ll be able to do it.

Best Bets

Western Michigan (+10.5) at Ball State – Yeah, I was wrong about this one. WMU always chokes in big games and I should have probably remembered that.

West Virginia (-3.5) at Pittsburgh — The Mountaineers will be looking for revenge from last year’s upset and still have an outside shot at the Big East title with a win.

Colorado (+18) at Nebraska — The Buffs need a win to be bowl-eligible and that motivation will be enough to keep the game close, though they’re still going to lose.

Kansas (+16) vs. Missouri — This is another bitter rivalry where the underdogs are just getting too many points.

Auburn (+14) at Alabama — See above. Auburn seems to be improving and Alabama might come out a little tight.

Last Week

5-5 last week, 71-57-3 overall

Top Games

2-3 last week, 35-28-2 overall

Best Bets

3-2 last week, 35-29-1 overall

Actual Bets

1-2 last week, 11-16-1 overall, -$141