
(I tried to get Tom 1860 to write this preview, but when I asked him, I heard a gunshot and the line went dead. Hope he’s ok. In his place, we’ve got sancarlos, who we’ve had the pleasure of witnessing become a man over the last few years.)
It’s certainly odd to be writing a preview of the upcoming Denver Bronco season. Because, who the hell knows what to expect from this team? Everything’s new. The top-to-bottom turnover has been huge and I’m sure guys are still introducing themselves in the locker room. Seems odd to reflect back that owner Pat Bowlen decided to blow up a group that was 8 up and 5 down with three games remaining last season. But, no Bronco follower liked what transpired in those subsequent losses, Bowlen apparently least of all. Instead of the continuing the annual Denver rite – the axing of the defensive coordinator, he went whole hog and fired the highly-respected coach Mike Shanahan in a move that shocked all of Colorado, replacing him with the snot-nosed boy wonder offensive coordinator from New England, Josh McDaniel. The choice of another offensive-oriented coach was curious, given the fact that offense wasn’t Denver’s problem last year. Football Outsiders ranked the Bronco offense DVOA #2 in the NFL. Now-departed quarterback Jay Cutler made the Pro Bowl. Wideout Brandon Marshall was a budding superstar. On the other hand, the defense had all the resistance of an East Colfax Avenue hooker. If the Broncos didn’t put up 30 points themselves, a loss was likely.
McDaniel’s proven ability to come in, project arrogance and quickly alienate everybody from the star quarterback to the team chaplain has been well-documented. The fan base will have him on a short leash, so he better put up some W’s or the braying will be loud. He certainly seems a confident young man, given that he’s dumped the successful offense and changed damned near everything that wasn’t nailed down in Bronco-land.
But enough about what’s already in the rear-view mirror. What about this year? As the new President has noted, the modern theme is “Change” and the changes in Denver are profound.
Most prognosticators foresee a losing season for the Broncos. I have to agree. But, I do disagree with the degree of some folks’ pessimism. 3-13? I’d be shocked. There is some significant talent, particularly on the offensive side of the ball. The great production of 2008 wasn’t only a product of Jay Cutler and the Shanahan/Jeremy Bates scheme. The offensive line is a superb pass-blocking unit and the receiving corps of Brandon Marshall, Eddie Royal, Tony Scheffler and others is top notch. Draft choice Knowshon Moreno from Georgia is a talent who’ll be given the first opportunity in the backfield and Peyton Hillis was a revelation last season before he was injured. Lamont Jordan, Correll Buckhalter and injury-plagued second year man Ryan Torain also figure to be in the mix. Of course, it will be interesting to see the relative upside or downside movement in scoring, given the new New England-style offense brought in by Coach McDaniel, and piloted by former Chicago quarterback Kyle Orton. The line will also have to get used to the switch away from the time-honored zone blocking scheme. Given the mediocre track record of Orton and the potential for a new scheme to cause difficulty for the entire group, it’s hard to view the prospects of the 2009 offense as anything but a downgrade. As a fan, I just hope the slope of decline is gentle.
And, that’s the good news! What about the defense, you ask? Yikes, that was a horror show last season, so the bar of expectation is set fairly low. McDaniel has jettisoned 2/3 of the starters on defense, installed a Patriot-style 3-4 scheme and brought in some able vets, particularly in the secondary. Former Dolphin stalwarts Andre Goodman and Renaldo Hill join perennial Eagle pro bowler Brian Dawkins and back-from-injury Champ Bailey in what should be a much-improved back line (it couldn’t have gotten much worse.) 2nd round draft pick Alphonso Smith from Wake Forest provides depth. Dawkins has a broken hand, but reportedly will be back for the opener. Unfortunately, the linebacking corps and the defensive line are looking much shakier. Defensive ends Elvis Dumervill and Jarvis Moss are trying to learn to play outside linebacker. The same goes for rookie 1st rounder Robert Ayers from Tennessee. Former 49er backup Ronald Fields battles holdover Marcus Thomas at nose tackle. Former Cleveland journeyman Andra Davis is slated to start at inside linebacker with former outside backer D.J. Williams. Former Colt backup Ryan McBean might start at one end, with holdover Kenny Peterson at the other. Does any of this make you feel warm and fuzzy about the Broncos’ ability to keep the opposition’s offense off the field? Me neither. In recent years, the Broncos’ rush defense has been atrocious and it’s hard to make a case here that it’s improved.
The schedule is very tough, but four of the games are against Oakland and Kansas City. Mike Shanahan was quoted as saying that you never admitted it was a rebuilding season, because you’d lose the team. But, Josh McDaniel doesn’t even have the luxury of pretending this isn’t a rebuilding season. 6-10 sounds about right to me. I hope the fans don’t kill him.