(From Ljam3. I couldn’t do a “you know who this is” thing here because we’ve got a bazillion Eagles fans. And remember, you guys can thank me for Jeremy Maclin.)
This was supposed to be a fun preview. I was going to write it in my baby daughter’s voice to get ready for her second season of NFL picks. But NOOOOO. Reality had to show up. The critical element in the Eagles’ success for the last decade loses his battle with cancer. The starting Mike blows his ACL in the second day in training camp. The new LT resembles a sumo who has never played the game before. The first team units looked undisciplined the entire preseason. Hmm. Am I forgetting anything?
Oh yeah. My team signed a convicted member of organized crime.
So instead of a cute preview of a bona fide championship contender who led the NFL in DVOA last year, you’re going to get the classic Eagles-fan best case/worst case scenario that every fan vacillates about 800 times a season.
OFFENSIVE LINE
I was originally excited about the sneaky offseason trade of past Pro Bowler Buffalo Bill Jason Peters to man the blind side. With Peters and the newly-acquired RG Stacey Andrews added to LG Todd Herremans, C Jamal Jackson, and the return past Pro Bowler and all-around mauler RG Shaun Andrews to RT, the line supposedly got better and younger at the same time. Now, after 2 preseason games, Peters looks like a liability in pass coverage, Herremans looks plain mediocre (and likely out Week One), and The Big Kid is talking that by Week One, he might be ready from back surgery, ready to “sell out like a Michael Jackson concert”, or he’ll be playing Xbox 360. (That last line is not a joke).
RUNNING BACKS
Yeah! Brian Westbrook! 1300 yards from scrimmage, 14 TD. Fantasy excellence! Wait a second… his YPC dropped three years in a row? He had a knee scope AND a high ankle sprain in the offseason? He turns 30 before the season starts???!! Well, what about the backups? LeSean McCoy… can’t pass block. Leonard Weaver… good blocker and a good pass catcher for a FB. Maybe we ARE doing the right thing limiting the running plays.
WIDE RECEIVERS/TIGHT ENDS
For the first time in a while, I am pleased with the pass-catching depth on the Birds. While no receivers or tight ends are in the Fitz/Andre/Calvin/Gonzo/Gates level, they all have their roles. DeSean Jackson works as a raw Steve Smith-type – speedy guys who excel at both deep passes and short hitches and screens – but 16% of the balls thrown his way last year were defensed. Kevin Curtis is healthy again and looks to be the chain mover. Jeremy Maclin is moving up the depth charts and might be starting at the X as Jackson improves. Reggie Brown… wait, we didn’t trade him to Baltimore yet? Hank Baskett is the jump-ball guy with a hot wife. Brent Celek is an upgrade at TE simply because his name isn’t “LJ Smith”.
QUARTERBACK
Now starting his 11th and likely penultimate season with the Eagles is Donovan McNabb. For a QB of his caliber (probably grades out as the 3rd or 4th best QB of the 00s), he is still occasionally susceptible to maddening bouts of inaccuracy. The early scrambler is long gone, but he is still mobile enough to make the occasional first down or two per game. The Eagles are left with a signal caller good enough to go to and win consistently in the playoffs, benefited especially by his surprisingly low INT rate (the lowest of all time for QBs with more than 1500 passes).
But apparently, that’s not good enough, as the Eagles went out and signed the recently-released-from-Federal-incarceration Michael Vick. This is the same Michael Vick who was even more errant with his passes than McNabb, only one with a history of not studying the playbook, flipping off the fans, and not putting the time in to prepare. So apparently, 6 total weeks will be enough time for Michael Vick to learn the basics of the Eagles reputedly-difficult playbook, and the intricacies of the Wild Bird. Kevin Kolb returns as “WIP savior”, known to people outside the Delaware Valley as “the backup QB”.
DEFENSIVE LINE
Here is the hub of the Eagles defense. Broderick Bunkley and Mike Patterson both require blockers to occupy, opening it up for Trent Cole, Darren Howard, Victor Abiamiri and Juqua (Thomas) Parker Sietecinco to rush the passer. I do like they can rotate their pass rushers, and if all four are healthy, will greatly help in second half of games… Funny. If they all stay healthy. Like that’s ever going to happen. We got one quality pass rusher in Trent Cole, and then we got Overpaid, Always Hurt, and Mediocre.
LINEBACKERS
Following up on the prior point, with Bunkley and Patterson occupying at least three blockers every play, space is opened up for the linebackers to simply make tackles. That’s one reason I’m personally not crushed with the ACL injury that KO’d MLB Stewart Bradley. If Joe Mays is competent enough at tackling, that will be enough. Chris Gocong is sound at the Sam and an option in the pass rush. Akeem Jordan takes over the Will over Omar Gaither… What am I talking about? The linebacker units have always been substandard under Reid because he never spent money there. We’re screwed again.
SECONDARY
No Brian Dawkins? Yet again they let good players go once they get too expensive! Typical Andy Reid move! …But come to think about it, the unit is still strong… Asante Samuel and Sheldon Brown are as strong a CB pair as in the game, with Samuel as the INT man and Brown just playing strong coverage. Ellis Hobbs and Joselio Hanson fight it out for 3rd CB. Pro-Bowler Quinton Mikell covers the run support and occasional blitz role, while Quinton Demps attempts to lock up the ball hawk role.
SPECIAL TEAMS
No longer one of the consistently excellent Special Teams (it hasn’t been for several years), the special teams are still at least serviceable, miles better than the abomination last year. David Akers lost the ability to hit 50-yarders, but at least he connects every kick that any kicker should make. Sav Rocca is merely adequate. The coverage units don’t stink, and Demps/Hobbs and Jackson/Maclin won’t kill them in the returning game, considering they actually returned kicks in the past.
COACHING
Andy Reid is a quality coach from Monday to Saturday, and a bad one on Sundays. Rarely have the Eagles been completely outclassed in his era, even when they came into the game outgunned. They have, however, fallen prey to bizarre playcalling too often, mainly hinged on Andy’s reluctance or disdain for the run. With the Vick signing, this simply adds more dynamite to the fire – unless he was signed to simply act like the lightning rod for the criticism, and a scapegoat if things go wrong. Marty Morhinweg received high marks for his playcalling when he first came here, especially in the 2nd half of 2006, but has come under fire lately. And it remains to be seen if Sean McDermott will be able to replicate the success of other Jim Johnson disciples such as Steve Spagnoulo and John Harbaugh.
OUTLOOK
I’m saying they split their NFC East schedule. They beat New Orleans, Tampa, and Atlanta but lose to Carolina in the NFC South. They beat KC, Denver, and Oakland, but lose at San Diego. They lose at Chicago, but they beat San Francisco at home. That puts them at 10-6. Whether that’s enough for them the division, I’m not sure. But it gets them in the tournament for the 8th time this decade. From there, who knows? Over the course of this season, the fanbase is going to switch from “We’re going to Miami!” to “Dump Reid and McNabb!” like the weather. THAT, my friends, is the only likely prediction here.